Monday, April 14, 2014

Heraeus Weekly Report


Last week was again a friendly week for gold and the metal gained 1.2% during the course of the week – its best performance for a month. The resistance at 1,320 $/oz could however not be sustainably broken. This morning we are slightly up, trading at 1.327 $/oz.

The tension between the USA and Russia due to the Crimean crisis had already driven gold in March to a six month high edging round the 1,400 $/oz mark and it again gave support to the metal last week. Conjectural remarks by US Secretary of State John Kerry about the potential Russian military action in Ukraine led to safe haven demand. The publication of the last FED meeting minutes (FOMC) gave more substance to gold’s case. Apparently the FED’s position on an interest-rate increase and the end of the Quantitative Easing programme, after all, appears to be slower than was assumed in previous weeks. The drivers that have been behind gold for many years thus again gained more influence. As a consequence of this assessment the USD lost in strength and the suffering of the equity markets became an advantage for gold. Missing flows into ETFs however fundamentally point towards an absence of investor interest.  Read more...